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ECB’s Lagarde: War Has Made Outlook “Significantly More Uncertain”

ECB’s Lagarde: War Has Made Outlook “Significantly More Uncertain”

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Friday said the war in the Middle East had made the outlook “significantly more uncertain” and reiterated that the ECB would stay data-dependent and refrain from pre-committing to any rate path.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Müller: No “Obvious Case” Yet to Raise Rates

ECB’s Müller: No “Obvious Case” Yet to Raise Rates

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Madis Müller on Friday said the ECB must remain alert to inflation risks from the war in Iran but does not yet have a clear basis for raising interest rates.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
Exclusive: ECB’s Demarco: “June Is the More Natural Horizon for Judgment”

Exclusive: ECB’s Demarco: “June Is the More Natural Horizon for Judgment”

By David Barwick and Marta Vilar – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – June, rather than the April 30 policy meeting, would be the more appropriate point for the European Central Bank to judge whether the war-driven energy shock is feeding through into broader inflation, according to ECB Governing Council member Alexander Demarco.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Dolenc: Lower Energy Prices Move Outlook Closer to Baseline

ECB’s Dolenc: Lower Energy Prices Move Outlook Closer to Baseline

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Primož Dolenc on Thursday said lower energy prices following the recent truce in the Iran war had moved the euro area economy back toward the ECB’s baseline scenario and could mean no rate hikes will be needed.

16 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Lane: April Meeting “Too Early to Have Anything Too Decisive”

ECB’s Lane: April Meeting “Too Early to Have Anything Too Decisive”

By Marta Vilar – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane said on Thursday that the ECB will have some data to review ahead of the April Governing Council meeting, but that it will be too early for the data to be “decisive.”

16 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Rehn: ECB Would Have to Tighten “Decisively and Forcefully” if Iran Shock Spread

ECB’s Rehn: ECB Would Have to Tighten “Decisively and Forcefully” if Iran Shock Spread

By David Barwick – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn on Thursday said the ECB would need to tighten monetary policy “decisively and forcefully” if the war in Iran became protracted, generated second-round effects on prices and wages and threatened to disanchor inflation expectations.

16 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: An April Hold Does Not Necessarily Bring a June Hike

ECB Insight: An April Hold Does Not Necessarily Bring a June Hike

By David Barwick – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – With April increasingly looking like a meeting the European Central Bank’s Governing Council is keeping alive out of convention rather than conviction, June now risks being treated as the move that inevitably follows. That may be too simplistic.

16 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Schnabel: ECB Can Take Time on War Shock, Sees No Need to Rush

ECB’s Schnabel: ECB Can Take Time on War Shock, Sees No Need to Rush

By David Barwick – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said Wednesday that the ECB could afford to take time assessing the inflation implications of the Middle East war, arguing that policymakers were starting from a relatively favorable position even as they watched closely for stronger pass-through and second-round effects.

15 April 2026 Central Bank News