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ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Slight Dovish Turn in the Week of 1-5 December

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Slight Dovish Turn in the Week of 1-5 December

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – The ECB Tone Meter moved slightly dovish this week, with the Governing Council reading at -0.12, which we classify as broadly neutral but still with a marginal dovish tilt, and the Executive Board at +0.05, which we view as neutral with a very marginal hawkish lean.

5 December 2025
Exclusive: Austria Debt Head: Will Not Issue in Long End of Curve at Any Price in 2026

Exclusive: Austria Debt Head: Will Not Issue in Long End of Curve at Any Price in 2026

- Markus Stix, Austrian Treasury Managing Director: 2026 gross issuance seen €43–45bn vs. €45bn in 2025
- Stix: “We again aim for three euro syndications” in 2026
- Stix: Will be active in issuance in 1H26, but will keep “some powder dry for later”
- Stix: Open to opportunistic long-end issuance via taps of outstanding century bonds
- Stix: No plans to issue a new century bond in 2026
- Stix: New green bond via syndication in 2026 “one of many options”
- Stix: Would consider CHF market again to fund new green eligible expenditures
- Stix: No plans to add additional tenors to Bundesschatz program

4 December 2025
ECB Insight: Lane Reasserts Symmetry – And Hands the Council Its Escape Clauses

ECB Insight: Lane Reasserts Symmetry – And Hands the Council Its Escape Clauses

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Philip Lane’s Ljubljana speech on Wednesday reads like a belated attempt to pull ECB communication back toward its own strategy just as Governing Council members work to downplay the significance of what looks increasingly like another projected undershoot in 2028.

3 December 2025
ECB’s Nagel Sees Inflation Fluctuating Around 2% in Near Term

ECB’s Nagel Sees Inflation Fluctuating Around 2% in Near Term

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said in an interview published Tuesday that euro area inflation had practically reached 2% and would fluctuate around that level in the near term.

2 December 2025
ECB’s Nagel: 2028 Projection Will Determine if Still on Track to Meet 2% Inflation Target

ECB’s Nagel: 2028 Projection Will Determine if Still on Track to Meet 2% Inflation Target

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Monday that interest rates were at “broadly” neutral levels and that the ECB’s first inflation projection for 2028—set for release in the Governing Council’s December meeting—would indicate whether the institution remains on course to reach its 2% target.

1 December 2025
ECB’s de Guindos: Current Rates Appropriate, Outlook Data-Dependent

ECB’s de Guindos: Current Rates Appropriate, Outlook Data-Dependent

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Vice-President Luis de Guindos said the current level of interest rates remained appropriate and that policy would adjust only if the economic environment changed, according to an interview published Monday.

1 December 2025