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ECB Insight: Why June Could Yet Become the New April

ECB Insight: Why June Could Yet Become the New April

By David Barwick and Marta Vilar – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – We return from the IMF Spring Meetings in Washington yet more convinced that treating a June hike as the inevitable byproduct of an April hold understates the risk that June, too, will prove too early.

20 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Stournaras: April 30 Rate Decision Depends on Peace Talks

ECB’s Stournaras: April 30 Rate Decision Depends on Peace Talks

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras on Monday said the ECB’s next interest rate decision would depend heavily on whether the war in the Middle East had ended by the April 30 meeting, suggesting that a halt in the fighting would strengthen the case against tightening.

20 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Demarco: Bigger Risk Is Moving Too Soon on Rates

ECB’s Demarco: Bigger Risk Is Moving Too Soon on Rates

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Alexander Demarco on Saturday said the ECB would be better off waiting for more clarity on the inflation fallout from the Iran war than risking unnecessary economic damage by tightening too soon, signaling that the April 30 meeting may come too early for a rate increase.

18 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Kazāks: Iran Shock Could Still Force Move “in the Opposite Direction”

ECB’s Kazāks: Iran Shock Could Still Force Move “in the Opposite Direction”

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Mārtiņš Kazāks on Friday said the ECB still had time to assess the economic fallout from the Iran war and could even end up cutting rates if supply disruptions were to push the Eurozone economy sharply weaker.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Kocher: Need to Keep “an Open Mind” Until Meeting

ECB’s Kocher: Need to Keep “an Open Mind” Until Meeting

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Martin Kocher on Friday said policymakers should keep their options open ahead of the April 30 meeting, arguing that it was right to show resolve on inflation without front-running an outcome that might not materialize.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Lagarde: War Has Made Outlook “Significantly More Uncertain”

ECB’s Lagarde: War Has Made Outlook “Significantly More Uncertain”

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Friday said the war in the Middle East had made the outlook “significantly more uncertain” and reiterated that the ECB would stay data-dependent and refrain from pre-committing to any rate path.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Müller: No “Obvious Case” Yet to Raise Rates

ECB’s Müller: No “Obvious Case” Yet to Raise Rates

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Madis Müller on Friday said the ECB must remain alert to inflation risks from the war in Iran but does not yet have a clear basis for raising interest rates.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
Exclusive: ECB’s Demarco: “June Is the More Natural Horizon for Judgment”

Exclusive: ECB’s Demarco: “June Is the More Natural Horizon for Judgment”

By David Barwick and Marta Vilar – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – June, rather than the April 30 policy meeting, would be the more appropriate point for the European Central Bank to judge whether the war-driven energy shock is feeding through into broader inflation, according to ECB Governing Council member Alexander Demarco.

17 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Dolenc: Lower Energy Prices Move Outlook Closer to Baseline

ECB’s Dolenc: Lower Energy Prices Move Outlook Closer to Baseline

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Primož Dolenc on Thursday said lower energy prices following the recent truce in the Iran war had moved the euro area economy back toward the ECB’s baseline scenario and could mean no rate hikes will be needed.

16 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Lane: April Meeting “Too Early to Have Anything Too Decisive”

ECB’s Lane: April Meeting “Too Early to Have Anything Too Decisive”

By Marta Vilar – WASHINGTON (Econostream) – European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane said on Thursday that the ECB will have some data to review ahead of the April Governing Council meeting, but that it will be too early for the data to be “decisive.”

16 April 2026 Central Bank News