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ECB’s Rehn: Rate Decisions Not Locked In Beforehand as War Clouds Inflation Outlook

ECB’s Rehn: Rate Decisions Not Locked In Beforehand as War Clouds Inflation Outlook

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn said on Tuesday that although the war in the Middle East would unavoidably lift headline inflation this year, its medium-term impact on inflation remained unclear, as the conflict also slowed euro area growth and complicated the ECB’s policy calculus.

14 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: Dolenc Adds to Evidence of Little Appetite for Hiking

ECB Insight: Dolenc Adds to Evidence of Little Appetite for Hiking

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Our Insights on April 7 , April 1 and March 27 argued that recent European Central Bank Governing Council communication had increasingly come to sound like that of a body dutifully keeping April 30 live while sounding reluctant to move then. Bank of Slovenia Governor Primož Dolenc’s podcast comments on Wednesday reinforce that impression — despite almost certainly having been recorded before the overnight ceasefire between the United States and Iran.

8 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Dolenc Warns Iran Conflict May Push Inflation Higher and Weigh Further on Growth

ECB’s Dolenc Warns Iran Conflict May Push Inflation Higher and Weigh Further on Growth

By Marta Vilar and David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Primož Dolenc said on Wednesday that the war in Iran would negatively impact both inflation and growth, while cautioning more broadly that the conflict would have repercussions for Slovenia, Europe, and the global economy.

8 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Šimkus Says Euro Area Is Moving Toward Less Favorable Scenario

ECB’s Šimkus Says Euro Area Is Moving Toward Less Favorable Scenario

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus on Wednesday said the euro area economy was moving toward the ECB’s less favorable scenario and noted that markets were pricing two 25bp rate hikes this year, though he cautioned that such pricing did not predetermine the central bank’s next moves.

8 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Elderson: Fossil Fuel Dependence Makes Price Stability Vulnerable

ECB’s Elderson: Fossil Fuel Dependence Makes Price Stability Vulnerable

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Executive Board member Frank Elderson said on Tuesday that Europe’s dependence on imported fossil fuels was making it harder for the ECB to maintain price stability and argued that meeting the continent’s clean-energy targets would reduce the link between volatile global markets and domestic prices.

7 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Wunsch Does Not Exclude April Hike, Says Move May Be Needed by June

ECB’s Wunsch Does Not Exclude April Hike, Says Move May Be Needed by June

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch said Tuesday that he would not exclude an April interest-rate hike and suggested the ECB would likely have to raise rates by June if the Middle East-driven energy shock had not subsided.

7 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: Villeroy Can Finally Afford to Be Honest About Rate Hikes

ECB Insight: Villeroy Can Finally Afford to Be Honest About Rate Hikes

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – It’s easy to picture some of those listening to European Central Bank Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau’s speech last Thursday doing a double-take on hearing him say that the next change in ECB interest rates was probably destined to be a hike.

7 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: Little Rush to Go to Bat for an April Hike

ECB Insight: Little Rush to Go to Bat for an April Hike

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The Insight we published on April 1 argued that European Central Bank Governing Council communication had lately grown distinctly more tentative. Austrian National Bank Governor Martin Kocher’s Politico interview on April 2 lets us make the point more plainly: as things stand today, the burden of proof at the April meeting lies with a hike, not a hold.

7 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Stournaras Says Persistent Energy Shock Would Warrant Tighter Stance

ECB’s Stournaras Says Persistent Energy Shock Would Warrant Tighter Stance

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras said on Monday that the ECB would have to consider a tighter monetary policy stance if Middle East-related energy shocks proved persistent enough to affect medium-term inflation expectations and wages.

6 April 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Sleijpen: New Data by April Meeting Will Be “Limited”

ECB’s Sleijpen: New Data by April Meeting Will Be “Limited”

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Olaf Sleijpen said in a podcast aired Saturday that the amount of new data available by the ECB’s April 30 policy meeting would be limited.

4 April 2026 Central Bank News