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ECB’s Šimkus: June Rate Hike Likely, Direction “Sufficiently Obvious”

ECB’s Šimkus: June Rate Hike Likely, Direction “Sufficiently Obvious”

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus said on Monday that the ECB was likely to raise interest rates in June, with the direction of the next move “sufficiently obvious” given higher inflation and increased inflation risks.

4 May 2026

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ECB’s Šimkus: June Rate Hike Likely, Direction “Sufficiently Obvious”

ECB’s Šimkus: June Rate Hike Likely, Direction “Sufficiently Obvious”

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus said on Monday that the ECB was likely to raise interest rates in June, with the direction of the next move “sufficiently obvious” given higher inflation and increased inflation risks.

4 May 2026
ECB Insight: De Guindos’ Praise for de Cos Keeps Getting Fainter

ECB Insight: De Guindos’ Praise for de Cos Keeps Getting Fainter

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Outgoing European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos is not campaigning against former Banco de España Governor Pablo Hernández de Cos for the ECB presidency, but with each successive interview, he sounds less like someone actively supporting him.

4 May 2026
ECB Corporate Telephone Survey: Shock Rapidly Affecting Prices in Energy-Dependent Sectors

ECB Corporate Telephone Survey: Shock Rapidly Affecting Prices in Energy-Dependent Sectors

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The jump in oil prices caused by the Middle East war is rapidly feeding into prices in the most oil-dependent sectors of the Eurozone economy, though broader pass-through could be more gradual than in the past, according to the European Central Bank’s latest corporate telephone survey, released on Monday.

4 May 2026

Debt Issuance News

April 30

April 27

ECB Tone Meter

Entire Governing Council

27 Members
Very Dovish
Very Hawkish

Executive Board

6 Members
Very Dovish
Very Hawkish

Evolution

Governing Council vs. Executive Board

As of 4 May 2026

ECB Tone Meter

Meeting Bias

ECB Governing Council Meeting

Insights

ECB Insight: De Guindos’ Praise for de Cos Keeps Getting Fainter

ECB Insight: De Guindos’ Praise for de Cos Keeps Getting Fainter

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Outgoing European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos is not campaigning against former Banco de España Governor Pablo Hernández de Cos for the ECB presidency, but with each successive interview, he sounds less like someone actively supporting him.

4 May 2026
ECB Insight: June Is Live, and This Time May Be Different

ECB Insight: June Is Live, and This Time May Be Different

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Despite the weekend and the May 1 holiday in almost all euro area countries, a third of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council has spoken publicly since President Christine Lagarde’s press conference on Thursday. The message has come across: June is very live.

4 May 2026
ECB Insight: Lagarde Knows Which Way This Is Going, But Conflict’s Duration Still Matters

ECB Insight: Lagarde Knows Which Way This Is Going, But Conflict’s Duration Still Matters

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde succeeded with great skill in making Thursday’s hold by the Governing Council sound hawkish and cautious at the same time. She made clear why, absent a favorable turn in the Middle East war, the next serious policy question is likely to be when the ECB tightens, not whether it still needs to.

30 April 2026
ECB Insight: The ECB Holds, but Does Not Relax

ECB Insight: The ECB Holds, but Does Not Relax

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – As expected, the European Central Bank did not raise rates on Thursday, but it did not use the announcement of its rate decision to make the hold sound comfortable.

30 April 2026