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ECB Insight: Post-Meeting Comments Point Clearly to December Hike; Less Clarity Thereafter

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council members speaking since last Thursday’s decision have collectively strengthened the impression that another interest rate increase in December is the central scenario, but offer notably less support for any assumption that tightening will continue beyond then.

3 November 2026

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Central Bank

ECB Tone Meter

Entire Governing Council

27 Members

Very Dovish

Very Hawkish

Executive Board

6 Members

Very Dovish

Very Hawkish

Evolution

Governing Council vs. Executive Board

As of 3 November 2026

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Lagarde Drives Hawkish Surge as December Hike Talk Grows

ECB Tone Meter

Exclusive News Reporting and Insights on Central Banks and Debt Issuers

Top Stories

ECB Insight: Post-Meeting Comments Point Clearly to December Hike; Less Clarity Thereafter

ECB’s Escrivá: Rising Sovereign Risk Premia “Healthy,” Can Spur Fiscal Adjustment

ECB’s Kocher: Must Make Sure That Inflation Does Not Become Entrenched

ECB’s Radev: Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed if Inflation Pressures Persist

ECB's Moulin Praises Lagarde Record, Says French Market Reaction Overdone

Exclusives

Transcript: Interview with Austrian Treasury Managing Director Markus Stix on 21 October 2026

Exclusive: Austria's Debt Official Warns Fiscal Inaction Could Fuel Further Bond Market Turmoil

Transcript: Interview with ECB Governing Council member Mārtiņš Kazāks on 17 October 2026

Exclusive: ECB’s Kazāks: “One Has to Be Cautious Because of Opposing Forces”

Central Bank

November 3

ECB Insight: Post-Meeting Comments Point Clearly to December Hike; Less Clarity Thereafter

ECB’s Escrivá: Rising Sovereign Risk Premia “Healthy,” Can Spur Fiscal Adjustment

ECB’s Kocher: Must Make Sure That Inflation Does Not Become Entrenched

ECB’s Radev: Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed if Inflation Pressures Persist

ECB Tone Meter

Entire Governing Council

Executive Board

Evolution

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Lagarde Drives Hawkish Surge as December Hike Talk Grows

Meeting Bias

ECB Governing Council Meeting

Insights

ECB Insight: Post-Meeting Comments Point Clearly to December Hike; Less Clarity Thereafter

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Lagarde Drives Hawkish Surge as December Hike Talk Grows

ECB Insight: Lagarde Nudges TPI Back Into Public Discussion of French Bond Stress

ECB Insight: Lagarde’s Early Exit Account Leaves More Questions Than Answers