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ECB’s Lane: AI Uncertainty Calls for Data-Dependent Policy

ECB’s Lane: AI Uncertainty Calls for Data-Dependent Policy

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane on Monday said artificial intelligence could eventually reshape productivity, investment, employment and the natural rate of interest in the euro area, but that its monetary-policy implications remained too uncertain to support any mechanical conclusion.

23 March 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: De Guindos Makes April a More Credible Decision Point

ECB Insight: De Guindos Makes April a More Credible Decision Point

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos’ interview with Spanish daily El Mundo on Monday was no overt attempt to prepare markets for an April rate hike, given how closely he hewed to the meeting-by-meeting, data-dependent line. And yet, the interview does nothing to make such a decision look less conceivable.

23 March 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: Post-Lagarde Governing Council Comments Reinforce April Hike Risk

ECB Insight: Post-Lagarde Governing Council Comments Reinforce April Hike Risk

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – One day after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde’s press conference, the flow of follow-up comments has not produced a clear consensus for action at the April 30 meeting. But it has made it clearer that a hike is a very live contingency.

20 March 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Nagel Says Iran War Requires Vigilance; Wait-and-See Appropriate

ECB’s Nagel Says Iran War Requires Vigilance; Wait-and-See Appropriate

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said Friday that the Iran war had sharply raised inflation uncertainty via energy prices and required policymakers to remain “very vigilant,” while judging the Governing Council’s decision a day earlier to leave rates unchanged as appropriate for now.

20 March 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Rehn: Any Other Rate Decision Would Have Been Premature

ECB’s Rehn: Any Other Rate Decision Would Have Been Premature

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn on Friday said the ECB had been right to leave interest rates unchanged, arguing that “any other policy decision at this stage would have been premature” given the extreme uncertainty created by the war in Iran.

20 March 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Müller: Outlook Has Changed Despite Leaving Rates on Hold

ECB’s Müller: Outlook Has Changed Despite Leaving Rates on Hold

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Madis Müller said on Friday that leaving interest rates unchanged did not mean the outlook had not changed, adding that it had been “quite the opposite.”

20 March 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Müller: Too Early to Rush on Iran Shock Before Persistence Is Clear

ECB’s Müller: Too Early to Rush on Iran Shock Before Persistence Is Clear

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Madis Müller said Friday that it was too early to form a clear view on the appropriate interest rate response to the Iran war, arguing that policymakers should wait for clearer signs of the broader effects of the energy shock before changing rates.

20 March 2026 Central Bank News
Boris Vujčić Appointed ECB Vice President, to Succeed de Guindos in June

Boris Vujčić Appointed ECB Vice President, to Succeed de Guindos in June

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Council late Thursday appointed European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić as vice president of the ECB for a non-renewable eight-year term starting June 1, when he will replace Luis de Guindos.

19 March 2026 Central Bank News