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ECB Insight: Lagarde Keeps the ECB Neutral as Risks Widen

ECB Insight: Lagarde Keeps the ECB Neutral as Risks Widen

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – With the rate decision a foregone conclusion, Thursday’s European Central Bank press conference was mostly a test of whether President Christine Lagarde would let a turbulent couple of weeks pull the ECB’s messaging off its well-worn neutral track. She did not.

5 February 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: Optionality Without a Tilt

ECB Insight: Optionality Without a Tilt

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – With rates to remain unchanged, Thursday’s press conference is mainly a test of message discipline. Recent news has been the kind that some observers treat as inviting reactive messaging, but for months the European Central Bank has kept its tone firmly neutral, and that is the posture we expect again this week.

3 February 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Dovish Tilt Emerges Ahead of the Quiet Period

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Dovish Tilt Emerges Ahead of the Quiet Period

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – The ECB’s tone in our ECB Tone Meter moved slightly dovish this week, both for the Governing Council overall and for the Executive Board, as the quiet period began on Thursday. The former settled at 0.00, effectively neutral, while the latter eased to +0.05, remaining marginally positive and therefore still slightly hawkish.

30 January 2026 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: Euro Strength No Near-Term Trigger for the ECB

ECB Insight: Euro Strength No Near-Term Trigger for the ECB

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – A rapid euro climb toward the psychologically loaded $1.20 area has reopened a recurring question: when does an exchange rate move become a monetary policy problem?

29 January 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Villeroy: Euro Strength Could Weigh on Inflation

ECB’s Villeroy: Euro Strength Could Weigh on Inflation

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday that the ECB was paying close attention to the euro’s appreciation against the US dollar and its potential impact on inflation.

28 January 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Šimkus: Next ECB Move Could Equally Well Be Hike or Cut

ECB’s Šimkus: Next ECB Move Could Equally Well Be Hike or Cut

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus on Tuesday signaled that policymakers could move rates in either direction when they next adjusted policy, but that he expected the ECB to keep borrowing costs unchanged at its meeting in the coming week.

27 January 2026 Central Bank News
ECB’s Nagel: No Good Arguments to Change Rates in Either Direction

ECB’s Nagel: No Good Arguments to Change Rates in Either Direction

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Tuesday that the current level of ECB interest rates was appropriate and that there were currently no good reasons to change policy in any direction.

27 January 2026 Central Bank News