Central Bank


ECB Insight: Institutional Discipline, Not Hawkishness, Defines Rehn’s Message

ECB Insight: Institutional Discipline, Not Hawkishness, Defines Rehn’s Message

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – What stood out in our interview published today with European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn was not a call for action, but the conspicuous lack of one — a shift in emphasis that, from a policymaker previously among the quickest to flag downside risks, might register as an uncharacteristically firm stance.

8 December 2025
ECB’s Rehn: Medium-Term Inflation Risks Slightly Tilted to Downside

ECB’s Rehn: Medium-Term Inflation Risks Slightly Tilted to Downside

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn on Saturday said medium-term inflation risks were “slightly tilted to the downside,” with subdued energy prices, a stronger euro and moderating services and wage pressures weighing on the outlook.

7 December 2025
ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Slight Dovish Turn in the Week of 1-5 December

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Slight Dovish Turn in the Week of 1-5 December

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – The ECB Tone Meter moved slightly dovish this week, with the Governing Council reading at -0.12, which we classify as broadly neutral but still with a marginal dovish tilt, and the Executive Board at +0.05, which we view as neutral with a very marginal hawkish lean.

5 December 2025
ECB Insight: Lane Reasserts Symmetry – And Hands the Council Its Escape Clauses

ECB Insight: Lane Reasserts Symmetry – And Hands the Council Its Escape Clauses

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Philip Lane’s Ljubljana speech on Wednesday reads like a belated attempt to pull ECB communication back toward its own strategy just as Governing Council members work to downplay the significance of what looks increasingly like another projected undershoot in 2028.

3 December 2025
ECB’s Nagel Sees Inflation Fluctuating Around 2% in Near Term

ECB’s Nagel Sees Inflation Fluctuating Around 2% in Near Term

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said in an interview published Tuesday that euro area inflation had practically reached 2% and would fluctuate around that level in the near term.

2 December 2025