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ECB Insider: New 2024 HICP Projection Won’t Move Much; 2023 GDP and HICP to See Big Changes

ECB Insider: New 2024 HICP Projection Won’t Move Much; 2023 GDP and HICP to See Big Changes

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The next set of European Central Bank staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area, due to be unveiled on Thursday, will see medium-term inflation little changed, while forecasts for 2023 will include substantial revisions to both inflation (upwards) and growth (downwards), an ECB insider told Econostream.

1 September 2022
Exclusive: ECB’s Stournaras: Misguided to Hike Rapidly at the Risk of Needing to Backtrack Soon

Exclusive: ECB’s Stournaras: Misguided to Hike Rapidly at the Risk of Needing to Backtrack Soon

Exclusive: ECB’s Stournaras: Misguided to Hike Rapidly at the Risk of Needing to Backtrack Soon
- Stournaras: ‘Should err on the side of caution rather than on the side of speed’
- Stournaras: Unwarranted wage growth would justify aggressive hiking, but wage growth ‘okay’
- Stournaras: Would like monetary policy to normalise without destabilising output
- Stournaras: ‘Don’t think we’re anywhere close to actual action’ with respect to QT
- Stournaras: QT now ‘could make the situation much more difficult for the real economy’
- Stournaras: TLTRO redemptions to bring ‘a lot of shrinking’ to ECB balance sheet

31 August 2022