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ECB Insight: Meeting Account Reveals Widening Differences on Governing Council

ECB Insight: Meeting Account Reveals Widening Differences on Governing Council

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The account released Friday of the June 9-10 monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council showcased opinions that differed more starkly than at any other recent such gathering, setting the stage for a potentially strident reunion at the next such occasion in ten days.

12 July 2021
ECB Insight: Schnabel a Solitary Contrasting Voice on the Executive Board

ECB Insight: Schnabel a Solitary Contrasting Voice on the Executive Board

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The uniformity with which the European Central Bank Executive Board leans dovish makes member Isabel Schnabel a solitary contrasting voice. Indeed, a closer look at her recent comments side-by-side with those of a dovish colleague reveals considerable differences not far beneath a common surface.

7 July 2021
ECB Insight: Schnabel Acknowledges Possibility of Inflation Recovery

ECB Insight: Schnabel Acknowledges Possibility of Inflation Recovery

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel’s speech over the weekend represents a tentative but important acknowledgment of the potential for euro area inflation to stage the kind of sustainable recovery monetary policymakers had until now seemed to discount.

5 July 2021
ECB Insight: Muted Lagarde Interview Could Presage More ‘Steady Hand’

ECB Insight: Muted Lagarde Interview Could Presage More ‘Steady Hand’

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Perhaps the central message of the interview published Friday with European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is that in fact there is no new message in need of conveying at the moment, at least not to financial markets, and thus no reason for the ECB to alter its ‘steady hand’ approach.

2 July 2021
ECB Insight: German Job Market Strength Raises Inflation Stakes

ECB Insight: German Job Market Strength Raises Inflation Stakes

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The strong performance of the euro area’s largest national labour market this month raises the stakes for the European Central Bank, suggesting as it does that the missing piece of the medium-term price stability puzzle could conceivably fall into place after all.

30 June 2021
ECB Insight: Lagarde’s Who-Could-Have-Ever-Imagined Act

ECB Insight: Lagarde’s Who-Could-Have-Ever-Imagined Act

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – What a difference a few weeks make. After suggesting in late May that the strength of the economic recovery was no better than as expected and actually not all that robust, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde now seems to be contemplating the positive evolution with eyes wide and jaw slack.

28 June 2021
ECB Insight: ECB’s Lane Hints at Continued ‘Steady Hand’ Until December

ECB Insight: ECB’s Lane Hints at Continued ‘Steady Hand’ Until December

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Executive Board member Philip Lane on Thursday indicated that the September Governing Council meeting might be too soon for the ECB to abandon its current ‘steady hand’ and start beating a retreat from its ultra-accommodative policy stance.

17 June 2021
ECB Insight: Governing Council Likely to Want to Avoid Perception of Policy Inflection Point

ECB Insight: Governing Council Likely to Want to Avoid Perception of Policy Inflection Point

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – In contrast to the high expectations for June prevailing in the aftermath of March’s anti-climactic Governing Council meeting, this week’s gathering of the European Central Bank is likely to be less of an inflection point following recent comments by ECB officials that seem to preordain the policy outcome and foreshadow the tone at the subsequent press conference.

8 June 2021