Latest News


ECB’s Lane: Further Coronavirus Spread a Short-Term Downside Risk

ECB’s Lane: Further Coronavirus Spread a Short-Term Downside Risk

1st March 2020 By David Barwick - LONDON (EconoStream) – The European Central Bank’s staff forecasts may need to reflect the impact of the coronavirus if the spread of the latter is not contained quickly enough, according to ECB Executive Board member...

1 March 2020 Central Bank News
ECB’s Schnabel: Supply Shocks Delaying Return to Price Stability

ECB’s Schnabel: Supply Shocks Delaying Return to Price Stability

29th February 2020 By David Barwick - LONDON (EconoStream) – A more generous definition of the European Central Bank’s policy-relevant medium-term horizon could conceivably be appropriate in view of supply-side shocks that hamper the restoration of price...

29 February 2020 Central Bank News
ECB Meeting Account Shows Council Members Hopeful But Wary

ECB Meeting Account Shows Council Members Hopeful But Wary

At the meeting, which took place January 22-23 and thus before the coronavirus outbreak captured international attention, there was no mention made of the disease and China’s role in the discussion was only in the context of the recent “phase-one” trade agreement between it and the U.S.

21 February 2020 Central Bank News
ECB's Panetta: More Needs to be Done; Inflation Still Below Goal

ECB's Panetta: More Needs to be Done; Inflation Still Below Goal

By David Barwick - BRUSSELS (EconoStream) – With inflation still too low and growth only moderate, the Eurozone continues to need monetary policy support, European Central Bank Executive Board member Fabio Panetta said Tuesday.

20 February 2020 Central Bank News
Hawk / Dove Cheat Sheet

Hawk / Dove Cheat Sheet

EconoStream's subjective views on the hawks and doves at the European Central Bank (ECB), the US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bank of England (BoE) and a recap on the current and future voting members.  We get asked all the time questions like "is the Fed's Rosengren a hawk or a dove?", "who are the doves on the ECB?" and "are the voters on the FOMC this year more dovish or hawkish?".  Here we answer all these questions.

19 February 2020 Central Bank News
Sources: GPIF Buys USDJPY & Short-End USTs Over Y108, Sells Both at Y110

Sources: GPIF Buys USDJPY & Short-End USTs Over Y108, Sells Both at Y110

6th February 2020 Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund — the world’s largest pension fund — buys the US dollar/ yen (buy US$/sell yen) and then use those proceeds to buys short-end US Treasuries on an unhedged basis, when the US$/yen is about Y108,...

7 February 2020 Central Bank News
FOMC Market View?  Virus Risks Subside to Reduce Easing Expectations

FOMC Market View? Virus Risks Subside to Reduce Easing Expectations

Risk off mentality in the markets reached a recent peak on Friday with focus in particular on risks around the further spread of Coronavirus.  At the close of Friday, OIS markets were predicting 2 full 25bp FOMC interest rate cuts over the next year (see below for a full explanation of what this means).

6 February 2020 Central Bank News
Bank of England Market View? Market Expects Less Dovish MPC

Bank of England Market View? Market Expects Less Dovish MPC

The market retains a dovish bias to its expectations – the next move is expected to be a cut rather than a hike, but now the market sees limited chance of a cut at the March meeting, is 50/50 for a cut at the next Monetary Policy Report meeting in May while just 26bp of cuts are priced in by year end – 7bp less than was the case earlier this week.

31 January 2020 Central Bank News
Gilts Slammed After Bank of England Meeting

Gilts Slammed After Bank of England Meeting

31st  January 2020 Gilts were slammed by the BoE meeting, which turned out to be a modestly hawkish-hold. Vote was 7-2 to keep stable. Bank spoke of rebound in global growth and bounce in the UK. The next cut is now only fully priced for December...

31 January 2020 Central Bank News
FOMC Market View?  Higher Chance of Cuts After January Meeting

FOMC Market View? Higher Chance of Cuts After January Meeting

The January FOMC meeting played out largely as-expected with the target range unchanged but the Reverse Repo Rate (RRP) & Interest on Excess Reserves (IOER) adjusted higher by +5bps.  Market reaction saw yields slide further across the curve...

30 January 2020 Central Bank News
BoE January Preview: Everyone agrees, very close call on rates

BoE January Preview: Everyone agrees, very close call on rates

29th January 2020 Thursday, January 30th: Policy Decision & MPR release: 12:00 GMT; Press conference 12:30 GMT Current Policy: Bank Rate: 0.75%; Asset Purchase Programme: £435bn; Corp Bond Purchases: up to £10bn In Brief:

  • Analysts
...

29 January 2020 Central Bank News
ECB January Meeting Preview: No Fireworks; Strategic Review

ECB January Meeting Preview: No Fireworks; Strategic Review

21st January 2020 Policy Announcement: Thursday Jan 23rd, 12:45 BST / 07:45 ET;  Press Conf: 13:30 BST / 08:30 ET Current Rates: Deposit -0.50%, Main Refinancing 0.00%, Marginal Lending Facility 0.25%. In Brief:

  • Analysts unanimously expect no change
...

22 January 2020 Central Bank News
Beckner: Beige Book Highlights Inflationary Straws in the Wind

Beckner: Beige Book Highlights Inflationary Straws in the Wind

30th May 2018 By Steven K. Beckner Unmistakable, albeit anecdotal, signs of intensifying wage-price pressures are on display in the Fed's "beige book" survey of conditions in its 12 districts through May 21. The findings, summarized by the Cleveland...

31 May 2018 Central Bank News
Beckner: Beige Book Highlights Inflationary Straws in the Wind

Beckner: Beige Book Highlights Inflationary Straws in the Wind

By Steven K. Beckner Unmistakable, albeit anecdotal, signs of intensifying wage-price pressures are on display in the Fed's "beige book" survey of conditions in its 12 districts through May 21. The findings, summarized by the Cleveland Federal Reserve...

30 May 2018 Central Bank News
Beckner: FOMC Minutes Imply June Hike; OK If Inflation Overshoots

Beckner: FOMC Minutes Imply June Hike; OK If Inflation Overshoots

- Hint At Coming Communication Changes 23rd May 2018 By Steven K. Beckner The long-awaited arrival of 2% inflation cheered Federal Reserve policymakers at their May 1-2 Federal Open Market Committee meeting and confirmed their inclination to raise...

24 May 2018 Central Bank News