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ECB Sees Faster Wage Growth, But Underlying Inflation Subsiding

ECB Sees Faster Wage Growth, But Underlying Inflation Subsiding

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Wage growth in the euro area has picked up in recent months, with the assumptions underlying the European Central Bank’s December projections being confirmed by the latest developments in the labour market, the ECB said on Thursday.

16 February 2023 Central Bank News
ECB’s Panetta: We Need To Take Into Account Risk of Overtightening

ECB’s Panetta: We Need To Take Into Account Risk of Overtightening

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said on Thursday that policymakers should be aware of the risk of overreacting and that smaller, non-mechanical rate hikes would allow monetary policy to avoid costly mistakes.

16 February 2023 Central Bank News
ECB Insight: de Cos Sets the Stage for Worrying Not Just About Risk of Doing Too Little

ECB Insight: de Cos Sets the Stage for Worrying Not Just About Risk of Doing Too Little

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Pablo Hernández de Cos’ latest remarks are a reminder that the ECB is not going to hike by 50bp forever and that March, whilst probably not the time to decelerate, could be the right moment for authorities to start giving more consideration to the increasing risks of doing too much too fast.

15 February 2023 Central Bank News
Rates To Remain Slightly Above Neutral Until 2025 or 2026, ECB’s Centeno Says

Rates To Remain Slightly Above Neutral Until 2025 or 2026, ECB’s Centeno Says

- Centeno: When we stop hiking, we’ll be confident we’ve done enough for price stability
- Centeno: Don’t see upside risks to inflation, given December forecast revisions
- Centeno: ‘Inflation is going down faster than what we expected in December’
- Centeno: Somewhat uneasy about how fast ECB policy tightening has occurred
- Centeno: Observed euro area average wage increase can’t be considered 2d-round effect

14 February 2023 Central Bank News
ECB Could Provide Clarity on Terminal Rate in March, Centeno Says

ECB Could Provide Clarity on Terminal Rate in March, Centeno Says

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Mário Centeno said on Monday that the ECB’s terminal rate should become a lot clearer at its upcoming monetary policy meeting in March.

13 February 2023 Central Bank News
ECB’s Visco: Should Proceed Gradually and Prudently, With Measured Steps

ECB’s Visco: Should Proceed Gradually and Prudently, With Measured Steps

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank must continue tightening monetary policy, but should proceed slowly and cautiously, without taking unduly large steps and guided by incoming information, ECB Governing Council member Ignazio Visco said on Saturday.

11 February 2023 Central Bank News
Exclusive: ECB’s Kazāks: Rates Need to Keep Rising After March, But Too Soon to Say How Fast or How Much

Exclusive: ECB’s Kazāks: Rates Need to Keep Rising After March, But Too Soon to Say How Fast or How Much

- Kazāks: ‘Getting to 3% in March is a good choice that … will take us into restrictive territory’
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Kazāks: ‘Rates will need to go up at further meetings’ even after March; 'we are on a solid path of rate increases' 
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Kazāks: ‘At some point we’ll reduce our speed’, but ‘by no means’ in March
- Kazāks: Hiking more than 50bp in March ‘would be reckless’, not needed in view of previous steps
- Kazāks: Too early to say how big May rate hike should be
- Kazāks: ‘Quite likely that there’s not going to be a recession at all’
- Kazāks: Once at terminal, expect to ‘stay there for an extended period’; rate cut in 2023 would be 'way too premature'
- Kazāks: ‘Terminal rate is by no means 3%, that has to be clear’, but ‘I also don’t think we will go as high as the US’
- Kazāks: Baseline would be ‘more benign inflation projections in March, but there are risks on both sides’

9 February 2023 Central Bank News