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ECB Insight: How Lagarde Can Make a Hold Sound Hawkish (and Why She Should)
By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank does not need to feel obliged by markets on Thursday into explicitly validating June rate hike expectations, let alone a 50bp move. But after the latest inflation expectations data and Tuesday’s market reaction, a dovish tone from ECB President Christine Lagarde would fit the moment poorly, even if sounding overly hawkish would also carry risks.
29 April 2026
ECB Insight: No Shooting From the Hip
By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Over the last month, the European Central Bank has laid the groundwork for a hold at this week’s Governing Council monetary policy meeting. If the three key last-minute data points—namely euro area GDP and inflation as well as the ECB’s corporate telephone survey—do not deliver a major surprise, then a unanimous hold on Thursday still looks like the most likely outcome.
28 April 2026
Why the ECB’s Hawkish Turn Has Faded — as Seen in Our ECB Tone Meter
By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – The European Central Bank lagged markets in turning hawkish after the Middle East conflict began and is already retreating from that stance, even as investors continue to price in two rate hikes for 2026, having only recently dropped expectations of an April move. This shift is clearly reflected in Econostream’s ECB Tone Meter and we explain it in this piece.
28 April 2026Debt Issuance News
Transcript: Interview with KfW Head of Capital Markets Petra Wehlert on 20 March 2026
By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – Following is the full transcript of the interview conducted by Econostream on 20 March 2026 with Petra Wehlert, Head of Capital Markets of KfW.
25 March 2026
Exclusive: KfW Head of Capital Markets: Euro Green Bond Issuance “Likely to Come Early” in Q2
By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – German investment and development bank KfW is likely to issue another euro green bond in Q2 2026, according to KfW’s Head of Capital Markets, Petra Wehlert.
25 March 2026
Transcript: Interview with Swiss Federal Finance Administration’s Adrián Martínez on 13 March 2026
By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – Following is the full transcript of the interview conducted by Econostream on 13 March 2026 with Adrián Martínez, Vice Director of the Swiss Federal Finance Administration.
18 March 2026